Polymarket Trader

tian666

0x7f28044d388f69b23fdc45142fbf7b02ac937d8e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $241.43
Realized PnL: $3.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.52K
Potential profit: $4.52K
User PnL: -$90.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.98K
User PnL: -$23.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$121.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $992.73
Potential profit: $992.73
User PnL: -$88.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $971.71
Potential profit: $971.71
User PnL: -$666.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $970
Potential profit: $970
User PnL: -$24.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $962.19
Potential profit: $962.19
User PnL: -$300.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $840.18
Potential profit: $840.18
User PnL: -$8.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $784
Potential profit: $784
User PnL: -$21.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $671.05
Potential profit: $671.05
User PnL: -$181.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $241.43
Potential payout: $368.6
Potential profit: $127.17
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $41.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.64
Potential profit: $37.64
User PnL: -$9.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $698.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $454.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $410.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $343.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $232.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $168.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $132.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $122.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $112.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $71.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $28.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 3.8% 641.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 6.9% 96.42 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 55% 93 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 54% 70 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 20.1% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 10% 1,164.29 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 12% 1,164.29 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 22% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 42% 229.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 43% 229.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 34.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 147.17 shares