Polymarket Trader

BerkshireHahaway

0x7f2928f6f7626b13fbac2d566b834e4764fc0760

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.54K
Realized PnL: $17.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.2K
Potential profit: $5.2K
User PnL: -$4.96K

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.79K
Potential profit: $4.79K
User PnL: -$2.88K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.6K
Potential profit: $4.6K
User PnL: -$3.91K

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $4.6K
Potential profit: $253
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.42K

No position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.4K
Potential profit: $4.4K
User PnL: -$1.26K

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $3.37K
Potential payout: $3.4K
Potential profit: $25.5
User PnL: $115.56

No position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.4K
Potential profit: $3.4K
User PnL: -$2.58K

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.4K
Potential profit: $3.4K
User PnL: -$1.77K

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$231.16

No position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.86K
User PnL: -$1.41K

No position

US strikes Nigeria by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.64K
Potential profit: $2.64K
User PnL: -$2.47K

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $2.32K
User PnL: -$619.59

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.3K
User PnL: -$894.99

No position

Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$600.5

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$818.39

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$210

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $373.76
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $248.21

Yes position

Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
User PnL: -$1.1K

No position

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.3%
Current value: $1.51K
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $180.78
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $204.65

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$763.42

No position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$630

Yes position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$53.5

Yes position

Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$1.02K

No position

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $37.11
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $65.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $994.97

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $926.55

No position

Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $923.56

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $910.77

Yes position

Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $842.63

No position

Epstein client list released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $787.43

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $725.99

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $670.58

No position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $652

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $652

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $630.12

No position

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $627.28

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $625.45

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $606.9

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $598

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $575.99

No position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $533.02

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $533.01

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $531.3

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $526.42

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $524.21

Yes position

Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $514.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 73% 400 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?

No 99.2% 400 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 80% 600 shares
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Yes 3.3% 144.3 shares
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

Yes 99.9% 1,076.1 shares
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

Yes 99.9% 1,000 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

No 99.9% 111.35 shares
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

No 78.7% 82.07 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 24% 1,000 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 80% 802.5 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 80.2% 1,371.81 shares
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

No 99.9% 400 shares