Polymarket Trader

Jsmiler

0x7f4ee83cc77491bd8f13d1f75499a15ec8a52e3e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.85K
Realized PnL: -$8.13K
Win rate: 29.4%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.78K
Potential profit: $100.78K
User PnL: -$3.8K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $3.86K
Potential payout: $40.66K
Potential profit: $36.8K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.69K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.67K
Potential profit: $36.67K
User PnL: -$1.83K

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.47K
Potential profit: $28.47K
User PnL: -$1.04K

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.03K
Potential profit: $18.03K
User PnL: -$271.83

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$285

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53K
Potential profit: $10.53K
User PnL: -$1.99K

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$1.8K

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.9%
Current value: $892.93
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.11K
Multiplier: 5.60x
User PnL: -$758.06

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $89.86
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$131.7

Yes position

Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.78
Potential profit: $57.78
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.9K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $685.35

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.27

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$67.81

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$68.05

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$116.68

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$500.98

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$893.34

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$900.98

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.19K

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.92K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.06K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Yes 1.8% 3.44 shares
Iran leadership change by June 30?

Yes 1.7% 4,003.56 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Yes 0.2% 5,822.7 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Yes 0.5% 40,105.86 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 1% 17,009.08 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 1% 37,998.61 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Yes 18.9% 10,529.28 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 13.3% 15,000 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 14.7% 40,477.18 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 3,333.33 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 3.8% 13,251.02 shares
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?

Yes 39% 2,563.27 shares