No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $98.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $48.85
Polymarket Trader
0x7F51fE892219F137305B68f29D3189ec26EcD389-1771774690667
0x7f51fe892219f137305b68f29d3189ec26ecd389
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $181.07
- Realized PnL
- $1.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Julia Letlow finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97
- Potential profit
- $97
- User PnL
- -$5.58
Yes position
Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.37
- Potential profit
- $80.37
- User PnL
- -$59.1
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.75
- Potential profit
- $76.75
- User PnL
- -$10.96
Yes position
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.1
- Potential profit
- $52.1
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 6% or more?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $38.36
- Potential profit
- $38.34
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.06
Yes position
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $3.06
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $30.94
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$3.61
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $30.71
- Potential payout
- $31.01
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- User PnL
- $7.73
Yes position
Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.84
- Potential profit
- $26.84
- User PnL
- -$5.54
No position
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $14.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Zoë Kravitz be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.84
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $16.76
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$4.59
Yes position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.3
- Potential profit
- $17.3
- User PnL
- -$10.06
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.2%
- Current value
- $3.21
- Potential payout
- $16.74
- Potential profit
- $13.53
- Multiplier
- 5.21x
- User PnL
- -$6.19
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $13.27
- Potential payout
- $14.03
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.83
- Potential profit
- $8.83
- User PnL
- -$3.84
Yes position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.13
- Potential profit
- $7.13
- User PnL
- -$2.87
No position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $6.01
- Potential payout
- $6.43
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $6.17
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Trump or Melania say "School" at the Military Mothers event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.71
- Potential profit
- $5.71
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.25
- Potential profit
- $4.25
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398.39
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.59
No position
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.55
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.1
Yes position
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.37
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.88
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.32
No position
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.91
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.07
Yes position
Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.29
No position
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.91
No position
Will Drake feature SZA on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.91
No position
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.34
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.22
No position
Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
No position
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.35
Yes position
Will La Shawn Ford be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.25
No position
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.99
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.88
No position
Trump announces Attorney General pick by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
No position
Will Trump's remarks not air?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.71
No position
Will Trump say "Moon" during Monday news conference?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.65
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96.5% 8.04 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 50% 100 shares
- Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?Yes 74% 7.59 shares
- Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?Yes 73.5% 72.77 shares
- Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 29.7% 11 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?No 88.2% 50.43 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94.6% 1.44 shares
- Will Zoë Kravitz be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?Yes 37.9% 19.61 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 20?Yes 2% 10.37 shares
- Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?No 72% 8 shares
- Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?No 72% 2 shares
- Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes 20.6% 26.84 shares