Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $27.18
- Potential payout
- $132.6
- Potential profit
- $105.41
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$6.71
Polymarket Trader
8xy4a
0x7f5806bb4fdbae48894c64e875aeffe8f242ada4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.72
- Realized PnL
- $3.61
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $16.11
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $20.93
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $6.11
Y
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.23
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $15.63
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.77
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $2.81
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $9.69
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $1.81
Y
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $8.83
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 25% 95.56 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes 49% 10.2 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes 28% 17.86 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No 27% 18.52 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 27% 18.52 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85.4% 11.71 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 8% 12.5 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 84% 11.9 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No 27% 14.81 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 27% 18.52 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No 27% 3.7 shares