No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $200.51
- Potential payout
- $202.22
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- User PnL
- $0.51
Polymarket Trader
trbvfdf
0x7f5e901201dcb3406587413273f7761de88f663e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $471.88
- Realized PnL
- $158.83
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $181.22
- Potential payout
- $187.89
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $90.15
- Potential payout
- $93.95
- Potential profit
- $3.81
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $6.49
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.47
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.07
Yes position
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.57
No position
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in October 2025?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6000 by February 28 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 11?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.9% 202.22 shares
- World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No 95.8% 93.95 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 95.8% 187.89 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 99.2% 226.71 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No 99% 131.32 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No 99.8% 220.44 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No 98.3% 213.63 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 99.6% 180.66 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98.6% 48.68 shares
- Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No 99.9% 140.2 shares
- Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 14?Yes 99.9% 133.13 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98.6% 48.68 shares