Polymarket Trader

opolon

0x7f6df986b69769665b41335c42d34caa154035ae

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9K
Realized PnL: $583.03
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.2%
Current value: $2.08K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $6.92K
Multiplier: 4.32x
User PnL: -$2.42K

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 76.9%
Current value: $6.92K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $2.08K
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $2.42K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.51

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.65

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.06

Yes position

Will Trump say "Very Merry Christmas" this week? (December 22 - 28)

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.36

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.13

No position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.41

Yes position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.9

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.66

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.75

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.3

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.6

Yes position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.07

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.69

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.41

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.38

No position

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.23

Yes position

Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.13

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.98

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.2

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $11.68

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.38

FengDa Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Last Bullet vs FengDa Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.24

No position

US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.16

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Diego Lopes 99.9% 3,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.3% 9,100 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

No 99.6% 9,000 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

No 97.9% 662.32 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

No 97.4% 1,183.9 shares
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Sean Strickland 99.9% 4,012.34 shares
O/U 0.5 Rounds

Over 99.9% 70 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 6,000 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 2,000 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 1,000 shares
Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?

Yes 99.9% 9,053 shares
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Yes 99.8% 9,034 shares