Polymarket Trader

trevisan-cesar

0x7f7774135f035b7236f22e6c3f8b02856ac89494

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.37
Realized PnL: $15.44
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.96K
Potential profit: $4.96K
User PnL: -$54.07

Yes position

Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.54
Potential profit: $122.54
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $7.37
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $45.26
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.79
Potential profit: $35.79
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.66
Potential profit: $18.66
User PnL: -$4.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.41
Potential profit: $11.41
User PnL: -$4.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.41

Yes position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Yes 0.9% 4,681.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Down 42% 10.91 shares
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Yes 16.8% 35.79 shares
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Yes 71.1% 7.03 shares
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

No 26% 18.09 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 51% 29.41 shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Yes 4.4% 228.85 shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Yes 4.2% 47.44 shares
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Yes 19% 52.63 shares
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?

Yes 4.1% 122.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Up 65% 1.46 shares

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