Polymarket Trader

henryspencer

0x7f8bd9a53925a56440a59e8ba3292c96f4ad9226

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $176.3
Realized PnL: $40.2
Win rate: 53.3%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

China position

AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.68K
Potential profit: $2.68K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $176.3
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 7.43x
User PnL: $19.01

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$600

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$465.44

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Kraken IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $324.44
Potential profit: $324.44
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.58
Potential profit: $174.58
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.84

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.01

No position

TikTok sale announced by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.26

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.16

No position

Up Only podcast released by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.37

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.86

No position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.75

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27.02

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$33.1

Yes position

TikTok sale announced by September 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$46.46

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$113.75

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$118.4

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Yes 11% 178.73 shares
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Yes 12% 656.17 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Yes 2.7% 625 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Yes 6% 604.13 shares
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Yes 12% 833.33 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 26% 384.62 shares
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan

China 3.7% 2,684.36 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Yes 8% 625 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Yes 24.8% 604.14 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 66% 454.55 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

No 67.1% 443.82 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Yes 30.3% 600 shares