No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $2.81
- Potential payout
- $194
- Potential profit
- $191.19
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Polymarket Trader
chris1836
0x7f8fe2e88d8eb327611402e39349f003fc54aefa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $173.74
- Realized PnL
- $156.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $170.69
- Potential payout
- $170.78
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $6.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62
- Potential profit
- $62
- User PnL
- -$4.28
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $41.77
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$3.59
Yes position
Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $36
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.67
Yes position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.13
Yes position
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Iran strike Afghanistan by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 23?No 96.3% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 23?No 96.2% 41.78 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 9.1% 42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 3?No 97.8% 38 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 5.8% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 5.5% 94 shares
- Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?Yes 8.1% 24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on May 23?No 97.9% 29 shares
- Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?Yes 6.7% 29 shares
- Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?Yes 95.2% 57 shares
- Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?Yes 5.1% 17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 15?No 95.9% 46 shares