No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $518.71K
- Potential payout
- $592.81K
- Potential profit
- $74.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $109.39K
Polymarket Trader
nojnn
0x7f9e2d1df78614564a70becc7fa14aa9a6623a0e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $680.39K
- Realized PnL
- $597.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $13.75K
- Potential payout
- $100.74K
- Potential profit
- $86.99K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.29K
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $650
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $99.35K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$350
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $5.85K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $94.15K
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $550.1
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $3.72K
- Potential payout
- $94.25K
- Potential profit
- $90.53K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$141.28
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.2%
- Current value
- $59.04K
- Potential payout
- $64.74K
- Potential profit
- $5.7K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $13.28K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.4K
- Potential profit
- $64.4K
- User PnL
- -$53.22K
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $16.51K
- Potential payout
- $20.14K
- Potential profit
- $3.62K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $815.74
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.75K
- Potential profit
- $16.75K
- User PnL
- -$8.97K
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $14.29K
- Potential payout
- $16.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $200.28
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.96K
- Potential profit
- $14.96K
- User PnL
- -$9.25K
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $12.32K
- Potential payout
- $14.58K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $999.52
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $8.1K
- Potential payout
- $8.39K
- Potential profit
- $289.3
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $160.28
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $184.55
- Potential payout
- $7.85K
- Potential profit
- $7.67K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $90.32
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $5.34K
- Potential payout
- $6.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $102.71
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.42
- Potential payout
- $6.85K
- Potential profit
- $6.84K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.4K
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.66K
- Potential profit
- $6.66K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.36K
- Potential profit
- $5.36K
- User PnL
- -$4.28K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $4.87K
- Potential payout
- $5.13K
- Potential profit
- $258.88
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $212.4
Yes position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $4.36K
- Potential payout
- $4.99K
- Potential profit
- $623.39
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $4.66K
- Potential payout
- $4.93K
- Potential profit
- $268.55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$31.1
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.55K
- Potential payout
- $4.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.28
- User PnL
- $357.73
No position
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $3.47K
- Potential payout
- $4.08K
- Potential profit
- $612.69
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $38.94
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.05K
- Potential profit
- $4.05K
- User PnL
- -$3.22K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.11K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.3K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $44.96K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.61K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.38K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.21K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.26K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.68K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.32K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.29K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.57K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.49K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.48K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.14K
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.95K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.83K
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.77K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes 92.4% 10.86 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 91.1% 1,097.28 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 87% 2,000 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 26% 769.23 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 94% 212.77 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 93.9% 244.96 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No 12% 200 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No 12.2% 1,000 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No 15.4% 100 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?No 19% 389.03 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 22.1% 320.54 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 25.2% 100 shares