baboso

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $215.4
Potential profit: $215.4
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $19.23
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $134.62
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.77

Loneer Kavanagh position

UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.74
Potential profit: $121.74
User PnL: -$84

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$69

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.3
Potential profit: $99.3
User PnL: -$35.75

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $18.93
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $52.5
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$1.07

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $37.09
Potential payout: $60.31
Potential profit: $23.22
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.87

Jaume Munar position

Swiss Open: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Jaume Munar

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.13
Potential profit: $55.13
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $21.03
Potential payout: $51.99
Potential profit: $30.96
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $49.67
Potential profit: $49.24
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$19.69

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.51
Potential profit: $46.51
User PnL: -$10

Felix Balshaw position

Cordenons: Stefano Napolitano vs Felix Balshaw

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.52
Potential profit: $45.52
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $14.28
Potential payout: $43.28
Potential profit: $29
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$9.2

Maks Kasnikowski position

Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Maks Kasnikowski

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.21
Potential profit: $39.21
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

Ends Jul 27, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $28.49
Potential payout: $36.29
Potential profit: $7.8
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $3.81

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.22
Potential profit: $36.22
User PnL: -$11.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.18
Potential profit: $35.18
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $34.13
Potential profit: $34.04
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.91

Darja Semenistaja position

Rome: Julia Riera vs Darja Semenistaja

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.38
Potential profit: $33.38
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Clement Tabur position

Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Huesler

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.79

Hugo Dellien position

Trieste: Matej Dodig vs Hugo Dellien

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.52

Egypt position

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.95

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.3

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.08

Jacob Fearnley position

Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Adam Walton

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.39

San Diego Padres position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.36

Tiago Pereira position

Pozoblanco: Tiago Pereira vs Miguel Tobon

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.44

Gaston position

Set 1 Winner: Choinski vs Gaston

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.32

Morocco position

Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.28

J.J. Wolf position

Lincoln: J.J. Wolf vs Andrew Fenty

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.93

Under position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.89

Belgium position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.85

Dallas Wings position

Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.64

Mayar Sherif position

Contrexeville: Mayar Sherif vs Jeline Vandromme