No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $377.82
- Potential payout
- $404.08
- Potential profit
- $26.27
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $138.82
Polymarket Trader
zentrade
0x7fb227ff98dc57a7654b33b20c7ef1764eafcb9a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.31K
- Realized PnL
- -$274.19
- Win rate
- 73.7%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $36.76
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $257.35
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$63.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.25
- Potential profit
- $249.25
- User PnL
- -$176
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $215.48
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $22.62
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $15.48
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $215.48
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $22.62
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $15.48
No position
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.9%
- Current value
- $86.02
- Potential payout
- $116.48
- Potential profit
- $30.46
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$13.98
No position
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $103.8
- Potential payout
- $108.7
- Potential profit
- $4.89
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.2%
- Current value
- $86.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $13.85
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$3.85
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $59.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $40.5
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$14.5
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $86.5
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $20.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $79.5
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$20.5
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$46
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$67.99
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $64.97
- Potential payout
- $65.79
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $14.97
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $29.81
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $1.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.91
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.31
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.01
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.84
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.07
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.43
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.2
No position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.94
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.15
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.51
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$900
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes 26% 100 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes 41% 100 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No 46% 100 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 68% 99.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 74% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91% 100 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 90% 100 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 94% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 76% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 94% 100 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No 94% 30 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 41% 50 shares