Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.7%
- Current value
- $406.9
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $593.1
- Multiplier
- 2.46x
- User PnL
- -$98.1
Polymarket Trader
john224
0x7fb5b43eb14b55cb6a89aca327a5980364e5271d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $544.1
- Realized PnL
- $754.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 74.4%
- Current value
- $37.2
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $12.8
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$9.3
Yes position
Will Berachain launch in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.09
- Potential profit
- $42.09
- User PnL
- -$10.04
No position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
U.S. recession before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10.8
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.18
ETH position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.8
Yes position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.51
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.77
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,500 on November 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.04
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.36
Yes position
Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.6
Yes position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.6
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Yes position
Solana above $140 on August 23?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.5
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.01
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.89
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Solana above $155 on October 4?
Ends Oct 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Caroline Ellison not sentenced to prison?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will Berachain launch in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on October 24?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?No 99.1% 20 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No 97.7% 40 shares
- Trump out as President by May 31?No 99.8% 40 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 37.9% 160 shares
- Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?Yes 81% 5 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?No 98.1% 10 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 76% 10 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?No 98.7% 30 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?No 97.7% 10 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?No 94% 10 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 54% 20 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 54% 10 shares