Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.33K
- Potential profit
- $171.33K
- User PnL
- -$2.56K
Polymarket Trader
tradingdecs
0x7fc6e183e48e2f7658cd825ff4f40e44e9327306
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.01K
- Realized PnL
- $14.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $2.63K
- Potential payout
- $70.25K
- Potential profit
- $67.62K
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.31K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.88K
- Potential profit
- $44.88K
- User PnL
- -$987.73
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $215.27
- Potential payout
- $17.22K
- Potential profit
- $17.01K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.19K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.29K
- Potential profit
- $16.29K
- User PnL
- -$415.4
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.7K
- Potential profit
- $15.7K
- User PnL
- -$788.05
Yes position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $999.81
- Potential payout
- $13.33K
- Potential profit
- $12.33K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$110.01
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.16K
- Potential profit
- $9.16K
- User PnL
- -$745.32
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $298.11
- Potential payout
- $8.64K
- Potential profit
- $8.34K
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$401.47
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.29K
- Potential profit
- $6.29K
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $632.15
- Potential payout
- $6.02K
- Potential profit
- $5.39K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$941.94
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$880
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.8K
- Potential profit
- $5.8K
- User PnL
- -$1.46K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $235.49
- Potential payout
- $5.23K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$26.17
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.06K
- Potential profit
- $5.06K
- User PnL
- -$95.12
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.95K
- Potential profit
- $4.95K
- User PnL
- -$735.94
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.64K
- Potential profit
- $4.64K
- User PnL
- -$4.64
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $487.14
- Potential payout
- $4.24K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$31.73
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.4%
- Current value
- $493.95
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $3.21K
- Multiplier
- 7.49x
- User PnL
- $243.95
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.25K
- Potential profit
- $3.25K
- User PnL
- -$167.49
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.22K
- Potential profit
- $3.22K
- User PnL
- -$129.46
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.97K
- Potential profit
- $2.97K
- User PnL
- -$586.66
Yes position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $12.15
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.69K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$40.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $678.35
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $571.88
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $541.73
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $521.53
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.53
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.51
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $368.59
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.47
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.65
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272.7
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.61
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.81
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.59
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.15
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.8
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.04
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.8
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.08
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.3% 2,499.98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 96.7% 832.98 shares
- Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 15% 40 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.2% 5,425.19 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 99.8% 199.99 shares
- Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 99.7% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 15% 1,500 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.3% 1,100 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 12.6% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 14% 999.99 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 1.2% 1,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 1.1% 100 shares