Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
Cienfuegos2004
0x7fcd060a9eb117eb3d5bac15ace2fa02dc12c60d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $406.89
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $406.8
- Potential payout
- $538.8
- Potential profit
- $132.01
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$17.57
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $415.66
- Potential profit
- $415.66
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $407.78
- Potential profit
- $407.78
- User PnL
- -$3.67
Yes position
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $146.85
- Potential profit
- $146.77
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.93
Yes position
Will Marisol Pérez Tello finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.68
- Potential profit
- $140.68
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 3?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.21
- Potential profit
- $24.21
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $19.61
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $11.67
- Potential profit
- $11.66
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 58% 10.99 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.9% 407.78 shares
- Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 22.24 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 78.8% 549.79 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 91% 461.62 shares
- Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?Yes 57% 31.64 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 43% 461.63 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes 38.1% 481.02 shares
- Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in May?Yes 1% 45.45 shares
- Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in May?Yes 4.6% 90.9 shares
- Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in May?Yes 11% 90.91 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.8% 67.16 shares