Polymarket Trader

0x7fd1fc7Fea5d092f3d0Fd1D426E344e9C6977dbF-1778225925245

0x7fd1fc7fea5d092f3d0fd1d426e344e9c6977dbf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.23
Realized PnL: $53.28
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.15
Potential profit: $84.15
User PnL: -$1.09

Portland Fire position

Portland Fire vs. Indiana Fever

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.56
Potential profit: $18.56
User PnL: -$7.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $4.26
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $14.26
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.56
Potential profit: $16.56
User PnL: -$9.6

Golden State Valkyries position

Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $8.47
User PnL: -$2.6

Toronto Tempo position

Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.39
Potential profit: $8.39
User PnL: -$2.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $8.02
Potential profit: $6.06
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$1.32

Phoenix Mercury position

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.41
Potential profit: $4.41
User PnL: -$2.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83

Connecticut Sun position

Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.08

Dallas Wings position

Dallas Wings vs. Chicago Sky

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

No position

Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.34

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

No 41% 8.02 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

Yes 43% 18.52 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Yes 83% 14.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Yes 41% 18.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Yes 57% 14.04 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Yes 69% 10.92 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Yes 40% 10.93 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 78% 4.53 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 3.6% 24.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 5% 24.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 43% 3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 45% 12.07 shares