Polymarket Trader

estoicjaal

0x7fd38d7acfce0f5024859259cbc643b7d47121e7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $101.64
Realized PnL: $54.63
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $11.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $238.88
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $10.63
Potential payout: $172.84
Potential profit: $162.21
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$3.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $8.38
Potential payout: $57.76
Potential profit: $49.39
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $6.54
Potential payout: $30.43
Potential profit: $23.89
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $8.94
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $21.36
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$1.06

No position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 75.2%
Current value: $15.67
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $5.17
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $5.67

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.41
User PnL: -$10

No position

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $7.86
Potential payout: $16.21
Potential profit: $8.35
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $10.24
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $5.89
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 79.2%
Current value: $12.34
Potential payout: $15.58
Potential profit: $3.24
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $2.34

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $9.92
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $5.46
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.46

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Yes position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.39

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 57.76 shares
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33% 30.3 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23% 30.43 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 65% 15.38 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

No 64.2% 15.58 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 62% 16.13 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 4% 250 shares
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 48% 20.83 shares
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Yes 25% 28 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 49% 20.41 shares
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

No 49.4% 16.21 shares
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 45% 11.11 shares