Polymarket Trader

updategogoing

@kil9732nsmm

0x7fd9e8dbf171757fb1db81f8031797f820041fd8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.6K
Realized PnL: $2.7K
Win rate: 52.9%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $31.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $71.71

No position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $484.34
Potential payout: $489.98
Potential profit: $5.63
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $44.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $835.3

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $784.47

No position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $546.56

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $505.94

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.94

No position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.89

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.83

No position

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.2%
Multiplier: 4.96x
User PnL: $1.81

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.3%
Multiplier: 7.02x
User PnL: $0

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 85.8%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$77.18

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$140.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?

No 91% 1,147.13 shares
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

No 89.8% 489.98 shares
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

No 24% 539 shares
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

No 26% 506.52 shares
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Yes 79% 50.8 shares
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Yes 79% 139.46 shares
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Yes 78.9% 72.8 shares
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Yes 78.4% 2,043.71 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

No 99.6% 1,200 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

No 99.6% 180 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

No 99.6% 605 shares
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

No 97.8% 100 shares