Polymarket Trader

avon5

0x7ffc53e8b88c2cda6e2c9be761fdc6da414dd342

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.87K
Realized PnL: $1.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $1.51K
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $3.79K
Multiplier: 3.50x
User PnL: $586.08

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $568.65
Potential payout: $5.1K
Potential profit: $4.53K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$230.94

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $948.15
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $3.95K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $474.56

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $296.45
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $4.6K
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$227.05

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $487.55
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $4.41K
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: -$26.65

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $344.96
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $4.56K
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: $21.06

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $125.8
Potential payout: $679.99
Potential profit: $554.19
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $312.73
Potential payout: $450.03
Potential profit: $137.31
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $19.08

No position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $265.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $34.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $4.78
Potential payout: $15.66
Potential profit: $10.89
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.78

Under position

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.28

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.6

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.9

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.6

Under position

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.2

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $55.47

No position

Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.37

Yes position

Will Esteban Lepaul be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.53

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.02

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $22.72

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.05

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.16

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $20

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.1

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.83

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.6

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.7

No position

Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.7

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.1

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5

Under 59% 45 shares
South Africa vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?

Yes 47% 30 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Down 56% 8.93 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 4% 290 shares
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

OG 63% 238.54 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 91% 197.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Down 38% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Down 50.5% 49.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Up 86% 29.07 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 67% 100 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.7% 499.99 shares
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

No 46% 40 shares