Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $46.87
- Potential payout
- $53.57
- Potential profit
- $6.7
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.87
Polymarket Trader
Valorwood
0x7ffeada4491405e0cf362a5977de7e50a2010e28
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.87
- Realized PnL
- $7.27
- Win rate
- 84.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.95
- Potential profit
- $9.95
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.12
- Potential profit
- $3.12
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Over position
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Down position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 84% 53.57 shares
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5Over 96% 52.08 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92% 55.55 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 90% 55.56 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8?Yes 99.5% 10.05 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 8?Yes 85.9% 8.15 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 8?Yes 20.1% 9.95 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 91% 20.65 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 92% 20.65 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 20.32 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.5% 20.32 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?Yes 92% 19.57 shares