0x80012d72CD00726443794917E918191E4E587b2b-1770674945684

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.29K
User PnL: -$255

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$795

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $735.18
Potential profit: $735.18
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $734.19
Potential profit: $734.19
User PnL: -$565.78

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $425.55
Potential profit: $425.55
User PnL: -$143.47

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $23.5
Potential payout: $401.79
Potential profit: $378.28
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $12.25

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $379.04
Potential profit: $379.04
User PnL: -$230

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369.01
Potential profit: $369.01
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.37
Potential profit: $230.37
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.08
Potential profit: $158.08
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $20.32
Potential payout: $129.83
Potential profit: $109.51
Multiplier: 6.39x
User PnL: $2.67

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.48
Potential profit: $121.48
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $22.38
Potential payout: $119.37
Potential profit: $96.98
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $8.38

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $115.38
Potential profit: $111.98
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.33
Potential profit: $113.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $7.76
Potential payout: $102.14
Potential profit: $94.38
Multiplier: 13.16x
User PnL: $2.76

Yes position

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.9
Potential profit: $93.9
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.99
Potential profit: $91.99
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.01
Potential profit: $71.01
User PnL: -$41.62

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $7.44
Potential payout: $56.18
Potential profit: $48.74
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.66
Potential profit: $55.66
User PnL: -$19.48

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.1

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.81

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.08

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.58

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.55

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.79

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.93

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?