No position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $1.01
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Polymarket Trader
ardegerawf
0x8009df1f17bd800bd7c3203490e505ae936f557e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.98
- Realized PnL
- -$86.2
- Win rate
- 47.1%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $19.91
No position
Will Mikael Ishak score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 14°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Johnnie LaRossa win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will White House post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Under position
Jeju SK FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Roasso Kumamoto win on 2026-04-12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Dominick Reyes be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Milady floor price reach 2 ETH before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51%
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.43
Yes position
Will Mikael Ishak score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$93.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 14°C on April 21?No 99.8% 59.11 shares
- Will Mikael Ishak score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?No 59% 187.27 shares
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5Under 50% 67.05 shares
- Will Dominick Reyes be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No 79.2% 58.83 shares
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No 99.9% 70.07 shares
- Will Johnnie LaRossa win The Bachelorette Season 22?No 97.6% 54.58 shares
- Will Roasso Kumamoto win on 2026-04-12?No 52% 112.4 shares
- Will Milady floor price reach 2 ETH before 2027?No 32% 101.33 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?No 50% 233.92 shares
- Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No 77% 235.63 shares
- Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No 83% 176.02 shares
- Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?No 83% 176.02 shares