Yes position
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $16.89
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Polymarket Trader
peut-etreELM
0x800a5a9464f5f21d7240a7d7fd9d92336825c0ee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $220.51
- Realized PnL
- $104.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $298.06
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $230.83
- Potential profit
- $229.1
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $92.75
- Potential payout
- $106
- Potential profit
- $13.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $37.04
- Potential payout
- $58.33
- Potential profit
- $21.29
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $4.41
No position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $39.94
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $7.65
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $22.35
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $27.45
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- $13.11
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-09?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
Yes position
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.19
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.78
Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $5.35
Yes position
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
No position
Will Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona end in a draw?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.63
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
No position
Macron out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Fascism" or "Fascist" during his victory/concession speech?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
French election called by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $2.12
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $1.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France pass a national budget by December 31?No 60% 10 shares
- Will France pass a national budget by December 31?No 55% 20 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 94% 20 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 99.8% 10 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 12% 18 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 17% 15 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 88% 120 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 15% 15 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 9% 20 shares
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?No 83% 30 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 33% 20 shares
- Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes 28% 10 shares