Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $23.34K
- Potential payout
- $25.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $6.1K
Polymarket Trader
Niseko
0x801dbe416065cfa8ecffeae526eeb37f393fd8e0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $97.48K
- Realized PnL
- $104.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $21.68K
- Potential payout
- $24.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $756.12
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $13.45K
- Potential payout
- $23K
- Potential profit
- $9.54K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$385.41
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $4.81K
- Potential payout
- $18.14K
- Potential profit
- $13.34K
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$6.07K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $6.86K
- Potential payout
- $9.28K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $2.27K
- Potential payout
- $6.05K
- Potential profit
- $3.78K
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.5K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $4.33K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $675
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $385
No position
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
Ends Oct 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $4.67K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $332.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $347.62
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $3.35K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $152.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $546.77
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $14.95
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.43K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $759.57
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$208.58
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- $206
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.1%
- Current value
- $1.64K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $359
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $99.48
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $1.76K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $235
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $331.59
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $470.99
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $115.95
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $988.52
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $237.26
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $993.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- User PnL
- $103.5
No position
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $796.45
- Potential payout
- $899.94
- Potential profit
- $103.49
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $110.3
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $738.38
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $11.63
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $210.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $499.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $249.75
No position
Will June be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $390.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $9.2
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $14.8
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $7.55
- Potential payout
- $8.44
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.17K
Yes position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.48K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.85K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.65K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08K
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75K
No position
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58K
No position
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
No position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
No position
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
No position
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-0?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3K
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?No 96.7% 2,500 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No 88.9% 2,000 shares
- Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?Yes 20% 1,000 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No 70.4% 750 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17?Down 50% 19 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17?Down 49% 140 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.4% 306.54 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 4,000 shares
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?No 79% 680.63 shares
- Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?No 47% 1,228.79 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 77.6% 1,000 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 72% 750 shares