colorwheel

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $21.14
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$583.7

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $707.05
Potential payout: $748.2
Potential profit: $41.15
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $207.86

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $93.37
Potential payout: $746.92
Potential profit: $653.56
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$59.52

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $51
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $548.99
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$109

Yes position

Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $327.88
Potential profit: $327.88
User PnL: -$249.53

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $41.76
Potential payout: $281.19
Potential profit: $239.43
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $27.92

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $6.55
Potential payout: $278.67
Potential profit: $272.12
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$10.73

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$26.5

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $109
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $91
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $23

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $200
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $49

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 60.4%
Current value: $120.8
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $79.2
Multiplier: 1.66x
User PnL: $95.3

Yes position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$41

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $200
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$7.4

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $197.5
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $15.38
Potential payout: $161.9
Potential profit: $146.52
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$30.18

Yes position

Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $159.04
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$19.64

Yes position

Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $158.59
Potential profit: $158.03
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.1
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$30.6

Yes position

Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $149.02
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$21.02

No position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.24
Potential profit: $144.24
User PnL: -$29.15

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $26.33
Potential payout: $135
Potential profit: $108.68
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$18.57

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $19.2
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $100.8
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $2.52
Potential payout: $112.02
Potential profit: $109.5
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$18.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

US strike on Syria by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $657.04

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $549.02

Yes position

Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.37

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.27

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $275.86

Yes position

Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.81

Yes position

Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.77

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132

Yes position

Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.8

No position

Will Leavitt say "Epstein" or "Hoax" during the next White House press briefing?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.61

No position

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.72

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.55

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.4

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185–190 in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.69

Yes position

Maduro out by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.04

Yes position

Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.79

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 1?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.48

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 64.5%
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $60.24

Yes position

Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.69

Yes position

Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?