letyr

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $183.03
Potential profit: $181.11
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $162
Potential profit: $161.6
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $159.49
Potential profit: $158.05
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$3.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $6.48
Potential payout: $135
Potential profit: $128.52
Multiplier: 20.83x
User PnL: $3.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135
Potential profit: $135
User PnL: -$2.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.57
Potential profit: $133.57
User PnL: -$1.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.47
Potential profit: $124.47
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.4
Potential profit: $119.4
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $110.16
Potential profit: $108.45
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $40.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $59.5
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $97.5
Potential profit: $97.45
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $2.91
Potential payout: $77.5
Potential profit: $74.59
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $26.98
Potential payout: $77.1
Potential profit: $50.12
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $9.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $71.41
Potential profit: $70.87
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71
Potential profit: $71
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $25.9
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $44.1
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $18.2
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $51.8
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $26.95
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $43.05
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $69.9
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$11.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $23.61
Potential payout: $68.45
Potential profit: $44.84
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $17.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68
Potential profit: $68
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $7.8
Potential payout: $67.82
Potential profit: $60.02
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $2.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.4
Potential profit: $63.4
User PnL: -$22.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $25.86
Potential payout: $62.31
Potential profit: $36.45
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.15
Potential profit: $62.15
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $61.25
Potential profit: $59.66
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $8.67
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $51.33
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: $5.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $59.79
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $0.21
User PnL: $37.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $19.2
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $40.8
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.67
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.34
Potential profit: $58.34
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.79
Potential profit: $57.79
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57
Potential profit: $57
User PnL: -$3.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $3.99
Potential payout: $57
Potential profit: $53.01
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $56.86
Potential payout: $57
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $47.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.78
Potential profit: $56.78
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $56.25
Potential profit: $55.46
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$8.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $29.26
Potential payout: $55.2
Potential profit: $25.94
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $12.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $54.97
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $33.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $3.34
Potential payout: $53.03
Potential profit: $49.69
Multiplier: 15.87x
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $52
User PnL: -$2.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $51.99
Potential profit: $48.61
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $38.54
Potential payout: $50.05
Potential profit: $11.51
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $19.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$21.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.98
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $28.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 8.7%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.66
Multiplier: 11.51x
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$23.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 12?