Polymarket Trader

Mark62221818

0x803369c508ed3ae7390474bce0880bb03868fa1d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $112.05
Realized PnL: $144.79
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $25.54
Potential payout: $537.78
Potential profit: $512.24
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$18.66

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $291.89
Potential profit: $291.89
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $249.99
User PnL: -$17.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9PM ET

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $245.18
Potential profit: $245.18
User PnL: -$1

No position

Ripple ETF approved in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.5
Potential profit: $105.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $33.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $66.95
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $16.95

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$10.78

No position

Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.42
Potential profit: $57.42
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $9.23
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $40.78
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$15.5

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $14.48
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $35.53
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.7
Potential profit: $36.7
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $23.54
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $7.23
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $3.54

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$8.7

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $6.21
Potential payout: $27.62
Potential profit: $21.41
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Over $5M committed to the Fabric public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.3
Potential profit: $25.3
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.8

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.05
Potential profit: $19.05
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.12

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

No position

Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.22

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

No position

Ethereum all time high by September 30?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Bitcoin all time high by September 30?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8PM ET

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.1%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$0.06

130k position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Yes 29% 30 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 23% 30 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 31% 50 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 54% 20 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 22% 25 shares
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 13% 50 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 12% 50 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19% 50 shares
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 30% 20 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 77% 10 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

No 45% 30 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 29?

No 15.4% 70 shares