Polymarket Trader

LXN

0x803418f45dce01482e63b14f5c4166c558737b80

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $66.37
Realized PnL: $998.76
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$421.41

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $823.97
Potential profit: $823.97
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$15

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $383.26
Potential profit: $383.26
User PnL: -$146.5

Yes position

Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$24

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 3PM ET

Ends Sep 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $9.72
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $170.28
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: -$20.88

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.5
Potential profit: $147.5
User PnL: -$30.9

Yes position

Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $27
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $93
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$39

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.5
Potential profit: $110.5
User PnL: -$20

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $28.19
Potential payout: $43.36
Potential profit: $15.18
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $8.19

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be above $3.00 on October 7?

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.2
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$1.53

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.65

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Airdrops Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.63

No position

Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.66

No position

Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.1

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.4

No position

Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.23

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $18.46

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.03

No position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.59

No position

Will Gavin Newsom launch a token in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.89

No position

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.7%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $4.83

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo launch a token by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

No position

Token Launch Party Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

No position

Will Trump Media buy Solana in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.3% 330 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 97% 330 shares
Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 45% 6.67 shares
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

No 46.1% 43.36 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: December

No 26% 76.92 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

No 99.1% 605.45 shares
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

No 97.2% 463.64 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 70% 50 shares
Token Launch Party Parlay

No 98.4% 1.5 shares
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?

No 98.2% 451.21 shares
Will Ethena reach $0.50 in November?

Yes 0.5% 150 shares
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?

Yes 19.2% 312.82 shares