Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $148.09
- Potential payout
- $163.64
- Potential profit
- $15.55
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.09
Polymarket Trader
Leoold
@yfl4LTzVFGghB6F
0x80345b79d10889bfdb36368759b324faa53884f0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $157.86
- Realized PnL
- $186.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $9.77
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $35.68
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.19
- Potential profit
- $10.19
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.5
No position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.63
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.14
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.89
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.56
Yes position
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.37
Yes position
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.75
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Yes position
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes 22% 45.45 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 88% 163.64 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 82% 12.04 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 87.5% 89.14 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?No 98.8% 38.46 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 97.9% 38.62 shares
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?Yes 83% 20.48 shares
- Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?Yes 80% 30 shares
- Kash Patel out by April 30?No 93.6% 30.28 shares
- Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 80% 28.75 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No 99.9% 14.45 shares
- Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 17.2% 22.22 shares