Polymarket Trader

MarkoBardovic

0x8044676e8caa73027616efd55bbc128ee81268e3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $273.68
Realized PnL: $1.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.28K
Potential profit: $6.28K
User PnL: -$1.37K

No position

Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $343
Potential profit: $343
User PnL: -$8.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $273.68
Potential payout: $292.7
Potential profit: $19.03
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $17.47

No position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274.19
Potential profit: $274.19
User PnL: -$170

No position

Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225
Potential profit: $225
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: January

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $224.49
Potential profit: $224.49
User PnL: -$110

No position

Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.03
Potential profit: $200.03
User PnL: -$60

No position

50% India tariff in effect by August 27?

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.25
Potential profit: $130.25
User PnL: -$49

Yes position

Justin & Hailey Bieber divorce in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.22
Potential profit: $44.22
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Trump say "Venezuela On Steroids" this week? (January 25)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.59
Potential profit: $30.59
User PnL: -$20

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.43
Potential profit: $23.43
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.2
Potential profit: $23.2
User PnL: -$9.85

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$10

No position

Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 26?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.74
Potential profit: $13.74
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday?

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.78

No position

US-EU trade agreement by July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.23

No position

Will Leverkusen finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.88

No position

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.02

Yes position

Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.16

No position

Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.67

No position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.63

No position

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.16

No position

Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.52

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.14

Yes position

Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 15 executive orders in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.04

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $30.51

Yes position

Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.8

Yes position

Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.58

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.72

No position

Erdoğan out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.47

No position

Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.22

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.95

No position

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.18

No position

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.65

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.78

No position

US-EU trade deal before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

No position

Will India invade Pakistan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 6?

No 87.5% 292.7 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 94.1% 335.29 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Yes 44% 222.22 shares
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

No 20% 1,800 shares
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

No 22% 1,000 shares
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

No 22.7% 3,000 shares
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

No 23.1% 272.46 shares
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

No 2.6% 1,538.46 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

No 98.8% 104.05 shares
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

No 2.6% 739.15 shares
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

No 22.8% 1,754.47 shares
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

No 20% 2,500 shares