Wolf771

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $722.22
Potential payout: $111.11K
Potential profit: $110.39K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$277.78

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $375
Potential payout: $83.33K
Potential profit: $82.96K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$625

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $959.98
Potential payout: $58.18K
Potential profit: $57.22K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$39.97

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $638.89
Potential payout: $55.56K
Potential profit: $54.92K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$361.06

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $1.6K
Potential payout: $29.82K
Potential profit: $28.22K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $595.38

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $13.78K
Potential profit: $12.71K
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: $68.01

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $721.15
Potential payout: $3.85K
Potential profit: $3.13K
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $221.16

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.8%
Current value: $383.93
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $3.19K
Multiplier: 9.30x
User PnL: -$116.07

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $432.81
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$67.19

Yes position

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $117.57
Potential payout: $3.01K
Potential profit: $2.9K
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$82.43

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.4%
Current value: $623.73
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $1.94K
Multiplier: 4.11x
User PnL: -$376.26

Yes position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $31.75
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$68.25

Yes position

Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $935.56
Potential profit: $935.56
User PnL: -$50

No position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $712.96
Potential payout: $925.93
Potential profit: $212.96
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $212.96

Yes position

Will Norway score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $17.75
Potential payout: $806.68
Potential profit: $788.93
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$52.25

Yes position

Will Roma win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $769.23
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $710.02
Potential payout: $721.57
Potential profit: $11.54
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $210.02

Yes position

Will Lyon win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $694.55
Potential profit: $694.55
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $660.4
Potential profit: $660.4
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $652.17
Potential profit: $652.17
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $209.45
Potential payout: $625.22
Potential profit: $415.77
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $9.45

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $185
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $315
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$115

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $480.58
Potential profit: $480.58
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $148.84
Potential payout: $465.12
Potential profit: $316.28
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$51.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $559.14

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $502.17

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $428.45

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $333.3

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.68

Yes position

Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.17

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.53

Yes position

Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.06

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.33

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.18

Yes position

Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.68

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.78

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.24

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-2.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.48

Morocco position

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.25

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.86

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $38.73

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.42

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.48

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?