Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- User PnL
- -$356
Polymarket Trader
0x804600942f9044BF4f3
0x804600942f9044bf4f4ec7f1815b186184e60a1b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $2.96K
- Win rate
- 85%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.7
- Potential profit
- $142.7
- User PnL
- -$24.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.08K
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65K
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $823.26
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.36
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $105.88
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $96
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.68
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.17
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.3
No position
GPT ads by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.84
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.1
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$127.95
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$301.41
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38.87K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 86% 10,047.19 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 6,497.77 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 91% 5,000 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89% 5,800 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89% 2,247.19 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89% 2,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 2,197.8 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 89% 53.66 shares
- GPT ads by December 31?No 98.8% 1,343.66 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 89% 5,000 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Yes 98% 102.04 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Yes 97.8% 306.63 shares