Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $24.58
- Potential payout
- $25.99
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Polymarket Trader
Ravenwoodr
0x8047353b24c0249ce112df4f3ea14a7394f8cb06
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.58
- Realized PnL
- $2.18
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Skillcamp Esport position
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.5
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- User PnL
- -$6.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.47
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 96.2% 25.99 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.5% 29.24 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?No 95.7% 26.37 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?No 94.8% 26.37 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 96.8% 24.29 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 98.8% 24.29 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 27.83 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 27.84 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 93% 26.5 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 90.5% 26.51 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 95.9% 25.85 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.7% 25.85 shares