Polymarket Trader

testingtrading

0x8070414670983573965eb349816e5b2afe5f7397

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $275.61
Realized PnL: $273.41
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $27.04
Potential payout: $416
Potential profit: $388.96
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$72.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.2
Potential profit: $128.2
User PnL: -$25.64

Yes position

Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 59m and 65m?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $121.95
User PnL: -$24.39

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 10, 7PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.05
Potential profit: $112.05
User PnL: -$18.06

Yes position

Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 53m and 59m?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.28
Potential profit: $89.28
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.74
Potential profit: $84.74
User PnL: -$25.42

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $11.67
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $71.66
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$13.33

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $72.77
Potential payout: $72.77
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $59.37

Zero Tenacity position

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.49
Potential profit: $68.49
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $57.28
Potential payout: $59.88
Potential profit: $2.6
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $6.98

Yes position

Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.54
Potential profit: $58.54
User PnL: -$9.95

Yes position

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 8.9%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $57.61
Potential profit: $52.51
Multiplier: 11.30x
User PnL: -$9.88

Yes position

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$10

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Thunder

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.05
Potential profit: $53.05
User PnL: -$7.96

Manchester City FC position

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $45.73
Potential payout: $45.73
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $23.78

Yes position

Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.2
Potential profit: $44.2
User PnL: -$2.61

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.54
Potential profit: $43.54
User PnL: -$18.29

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $90 on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.26
Potential profit: $43.26
User PnL: -$26.82

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $40
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $19.6

Yes position

Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $39.91
Potential profit: $37.85
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$19.9

No position

Will XRP dip to $1.50 February 2-8?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.38
Potential profit: $33.38
User PnL: -$15.69

Yes position

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $13.97
Potential payout: $21.17
Potential profit: $7.2
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$4.02

Yes position

Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.2
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.2
Potential profit: $14.2
User PnL: -$3.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $110 on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.14

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.97

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.03

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.76

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 2-8?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.63

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $110 on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

No 84% 59.88 shares
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

No 29% 11.02 shares
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 18% 28.57 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 24% 416 shares
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 5.1% 30 shares
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 19% 30 shares
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs

Zero Tenacity 0.1% 68.49 shares
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026?

Yes 42% 30 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Yes 51% 40 shares
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 59m and 65m?

Yes 20% 38.53 shares
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 17% 11.06 shares
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5?

Yes 55% 10.5 shares