Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $76.09
- Potential payout
- $7.25K
- Potential profit
- $7.17K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$773.9
Polymarket Trader
Itsnotgoingtobeeasy
0x8072e357dcfed151a7804026b70a4364dd9a0ef3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $532.34
- Realized PnL
- $29.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Magic position
Magic vs. Pistons
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.88K
- Potential profit
- $6.88K
- User PnL
- -$210.84
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.76K
- Potential profit
- $6.76K
- User PnL
- -$149.99
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.56K
- User PnL
- -$149.99
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.44K
- Potential profit
- $3.44K
- User PnL
- -$168.75
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $34.07
- Potential payout
- $3.25K
- Potential profit
- $3.21K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$2.17K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.12K
- Potential profit
- $3.12K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.06K
- Potential profit
- $3.06K
- User PnL
- -$249.99
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.53K
- User PnL
- -$404.99
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $235.09
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $2.24K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.22K
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- User PnL
- -$33.19
Spurs position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- User PnL
- -$260
Spurs position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- -$480
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- User PnL
- -$270
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $187.09
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$12.91
76ers position
76ers vs. Knicks
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$50
Spurs position
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $941.56
- Potential profit
- $941.56
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $885
- Potential profit
- $885
- User PnL
- -$13.53
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Thunder
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $674.38
- Potential profit
- $674.38
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $611.11
- Potential profit
- $611.11
- User PnL
- -$22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Spurs position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $952.5
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Magic
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $929.64
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $908.27
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $744.37
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $624.49
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $587.59
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580.65
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Raptors
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $280.89
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.57
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Pistons position
Lakers vs. Pistons
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.5
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Thunder
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $142.57
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.96
Raptors position
Cavaliers vs. Raptors
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115
Cavaliers position
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
76ers position
Magic vs. 76ers
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 60% 208.33 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Yes 5% 200 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Yes 5% 200 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?Yes 63% 126.98 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?Yes 8.6% 1,452.38 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?Yes 6% 166.67 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?Yes 7% 428.57 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?Yes 7% 857.14 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 3% 333.33 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 4% 500 shares