Polymarket Trader

Vadik

0x80807f0d4b5aa5d53578f816a8a43dc3f2d18a7e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $141.98
Realized PnL: $2.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Jannik Sinner position

Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $806.99
Potential profit: $806.99
User PnL: -$780.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$15

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.98
Potential profit: $299.98
User PnL: -$76.99

Novak Djokovic position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $245
Potential profit: $245
User PnL: -$161.7

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.66
Potential profit: $232.66
User PnL: -$86.41

No position

US strikes Iraq by March 31

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$35

No position

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.01
Potential profit: $150.01
User PnL: -$64

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.05
Potential profit: $116.05
User PnL: -$63.82

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 9?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $99.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.55
User PnL: $6.45

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.32
Potential profit: $88.32
User PnL: -$56.62

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 25?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.52
Potential profit: $65.52
User PnL: -$2.75

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64
Potential profit: $64
User PnL: -$37.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 85.1%
Current value: $42.53
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $7.48
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $3.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $38
User PnL: -$34.2

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.11
Potential profit: $23.11
User PnL: -$18.26

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $549.55

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.1

No position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.84

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.08

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.5

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.97

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97.95

Yes position

Ethereum all time high by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.51

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.42

Yes position

Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.02

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.99

Yes position

Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.3

Yes position

Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.13

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 14?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 77.5% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23?

No 65.8% 106.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23?

No 73% 30 shares
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score

Yes 33% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?

Yes 25% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?

Yes 30% 10 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

No 99.6% 20 shares
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Yes 97.3% 30 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 99.3% 200 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 99.3% 300 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

No 41% 10 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 70% 10 shares