Polymarket Trader

EternallyConfused

0x80816c4503d1addcf1d8d71a9caa9e5eed63b01c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $92.94
Realized PnL: $13.14
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $27.96
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.98
Potential profit: $25.98
User PnL: -$0.26

No position

Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $22.98
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.99
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $13.99
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $13.99
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.99
Potential profit: $13.99
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will Gianluca Tittarelli win the 2026 Macerata mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Andrew Clyde be the Republican nominee for GA-09?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will "NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or higher on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

No 99.9% 28 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 29?

No 99% 14 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28?

No 99% 11 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28?

No 91% 11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 28?

No 98.4% 15 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.9% 14 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 93% 14 shares
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?

No 99.8% 23 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 25?

No 99% 11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 25?

No 99% 12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 24?

No 99% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 22?

No 98% 15 shares