Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $284.99
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$74.99
Polymarket Trader
Dios777
@Dios_7778
0x808db301f0b237020d1d877a743d6bf5f1cdebfd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.57K
- Realized PnL
- $11.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $287
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $413
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$255
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $16.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.6
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $10.73
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $8.27
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $14.9
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $13.05
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $9.97
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $4.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9K
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $964.88
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.51
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.44
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.06
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.97
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.45
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.37
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.18
No position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.22
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.33
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.24
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.64
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.38
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.14
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.96
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.98
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.21
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.03
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.28
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.87
Yes position
GPT ads by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.23
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 78% 500 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No 92.3% 172.01 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?No 99.4% 45 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?No 76% 82.12 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.2% 1,368.68 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.2% 5,000 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 87% 25 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?No 82% 86 shares
- Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?No 20.8% 797.78 shares
- Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?No 55.1% 641.95 shares
- Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?No 26.1% 1,916.91 shares
- Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?No 23.3% 40.38 shares