Yes position
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $7.06
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $3.92
Polymarket Trader
just-hanging-around
0x809205fb1c91f746b9703ca412c4fdd0435db8a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.46K
- Realized PnL
- $5.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $11.04
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.36
- Potential payout
- $959.48
- Potential profit
- $956.12
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $679.03
- Potential profit
- $678.69
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
No position
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $355.42
- Potential payout
- $356.67
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- User PnL
- $5.3
No position
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $300.43
- Potential payout
- $304.23
- Potential profit
- $3.8
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $60
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $190
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $246.63
- Potential profit
- $246.14
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $27.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $172.9
- Multiplier
- 7.38x
- User PnL
- -$72.9
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $172.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $27.1
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $72.9
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.8%
- Current value
- $121.36
- Potential payout
- $158.13
- Potential profit
- $36.77
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $4.51
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $52.22
- Potential payout
- $128.93
- Potential profit
- $76.71
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $127.73
- Potential profit
- $127.67
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $29.91
- Potential payout
- $122.1
- Potential profit
- $92.19
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$11.74
Yes position
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $106.28
- Potential profit
- $105.91
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $81.25
- Potential payout
- $95.59
- Potential profit
- $14.34
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $21.59
No position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $56.94
- Potential payout
- $94.98
- Potential profit
- $38.04
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $11.37
- Potential payout
- $78.41
- Potential profit
- $67.04
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$10.59
No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $48.47
- Potential payout
- $74
- Potential profit
- $25.53
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $9.25
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.1%
- Current value
- $58
- Potential payout
- $73.32
- Potential profit
- $15.32
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $9.2
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $12.72
- Potential payout
- $68.74
- Potential profit
- $56.02
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$9.83
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $32.96
- Potential payout
- $61.6
- Potential profit
- $28.64
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $16.27
- Potential payout
- $60.27
- Potential profit
- $44
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $6.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.15
Down position
Solana Up or Down - December 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.5
Down position
Solana Up or Down - December 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.93
Down position
Solana Up or Down - December 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.27
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $243.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.36
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.53
Down position
Solana Up or Down - December 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.12
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.83
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.42
Down position
Solana Up or Down - December 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.48
Down position
Solana Up or Down - December 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.7
Down position
Solana Up or Down - December 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes 5% 2.37 shares
- Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.9% 0.02 shares
- Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No 96.3% 0.06 shares
- Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No 96.3% 0.02 shares
- Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No 96.1% 0.06 shares
- Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No 96.1% 0.06 shares
- Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No 96.1% 0.06 shares
- Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No 96.1% 0.06 shares
- Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No 96.1% 0.06 shares
- Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No 96.1% 0.06 shares
- Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No 96.1% 0.06 shares
- Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No 96.1% 0.06 shares