Polymarket Trader

vishmura

0x809fb5f69d42908c883db9589fffe39d62bd9cfa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $855.09
Realized PnL: $495.39
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $580.22
Potential payout: $659.34
Potential profit: $79.12
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$19.78

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $233.87
Potential payout: $393.06
Potential profit: $159.19
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $23.87

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 19?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $314.12
Potential profit: $314.12
User PnL: -$229.16

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.79
Potential profit: $102.79
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $41
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $25.67
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.15
Potential profit: $37.15
User PnL: -$20

Under position

Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Jacob Shaffelburg: 3+ shots

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $1.2
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.83

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.69

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.97

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.73

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.41

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $6.43

Yes position

Jonathan David: 3+ shots

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Jacob Shaffelburg: 2+ shots

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Under position

England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Under position

Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 91% 659.34 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Yes 75% 66.67 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 94% 446.81 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 69% 23.8 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 53.4% 393.06 shares
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Over 24% 62.32 shares
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Yes 41% 43.47 shares
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Over 68% 14.71 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 80% 12.5 shares
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Yes 46% 43.48 shares
Jacob Shaffelburg: 2+ shots

Yes 38% 26.32 shares
Jonathan David: 3+ shots

Yes 58% 17.24 shares