Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $46.11
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $509.44
- Multiplier
- 12.05x
- User PnL
- -$53.89
Polymarket Trader
tomorrowbtc25
0x80ad576bb9132ccdaa6d746fadb291057b56f700
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.37
- Realized PnL
- $2.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $422.54
- Potential profit
- $422.54
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $334.55
- Potential profit
- $334.55
- User PnL
- -$301.09
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $306.01
- Potential profit
- $306.01
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $288.71
- Potential profit
- $288.71
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $277.78
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 27–30%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.41
- Potential profit
- $196.41
- User PnL
- -$44.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $167.16
- Potential profit
- $167.16
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $135.14
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.97
- Potential profit
- $107.97
- User PnL
- -$30.01
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.81
- Potential profit
- $102.81
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.71
- Potential profit
- $79.71
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $37.04
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $36.59
- Potential profit
- $35.32
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$13.74
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320.56
No position
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.49
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.96
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.23
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.1
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.01
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.4
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.44
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.57
Yes position
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.47
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.81
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.86
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.27
Yes position
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.86
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.64
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.56
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.67
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.85
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.73
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.93
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes 55% 90.91 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes 27% 37.04 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes 36% 27.78 shares
- Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?Yes 9% 111.11 shares
- Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31?No 71% 14.08 shares
- Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?No 9% 19.7 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 75.9% 78.87 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?No 78% 50 shares
- Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?No 50.7% 19.71 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?No 80% 23.14 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 69% 23.81 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?No 60% 50 shares