Polymarket Trader

Hotguy69

0x80bd1d47d928210a0579c8fcf3af29c8866c0ceb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $757.12
Realized PnL: $2.81K
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Melquizael Costa position

UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $202.81
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $920.79
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $102.81

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$25

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $980.39
Potential profit: $980.39
User PnL: -$500

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $882.67
Potential profit: $882.67
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$100

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $806.45
Potential profit: $806.45
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $766.87
Potential profit: $766.87
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $735.29
Potential profit: $735.29
User PnL: -$500

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $554.31
Potential payout: $574.71
Potential profit: $20.4
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $54.31

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $549.45
Potential profit: $549.45
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $322.58
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.41
Potential profit: $195.41
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.61
Potential profit: $194.61
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.35
Potential profit: $189.35
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $188.68
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165.18
Potential profit: $165.18
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Carlos Prates position

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.54

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.33

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.67

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.84

$80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.35

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.83

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.14

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.3

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 83% 602.41 shares
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?

Yes 12% 833.33 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 65.2% 383.44 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 65.2% 383.44 shares
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

Yes 18.2% 549.45 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Alex Pereira 51% 980.39 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 1,923.08 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.9% 1,123.6 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 61% 409.84 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 63% 396.83 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 70% 357.14 shares
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 2.4% 1,041.67 shares