Polymarket Trader

0x80c045172058D32740ac2887970188ba6b2EED95-1775061091891

0x80c045172058d32740ac2887970188ba6b2eed95

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.58K
Realized PnL: $23.53
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $4.78K
Potential payout: $273.38K
Potential profit: $268.6K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$5.08K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Third term" in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.93K
Potential profit: $43.93K
User PnL: -$116.94

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $22.43K
Potential profit: $21.26K
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$1.32K

Yes position

Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $414.66
Potential payout: $8.82K
Potential profit: $8.41K
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: -$1.09K

Yes position

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.54K
Potential profit: $5.54K
User PnL: -$799.99

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $3.04K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$138

Yes position

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $30.68
Potential payout: $681.82
Potential profit: $651.14
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$44.32

Yes position

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $176.87
Potential payout: $442.18
Potential profit: $265.31
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $109.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

Yes 11% 681.82 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 15.2% 9,661.02 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 4.2% 78,137.01 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.7% 46,216.46 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3.3% 55,714.68 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.6% 42,128.06 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.3% 45,186.38 shares
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Yes 8.7% 11,534.99 shares
Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation?

No 12% 1,154.73 shares
Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Yes 68% 73.53 shares
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Yes 15.3% 442.18 shares
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?

Yes 14.4% 5,544.51 shares