Polymarket Trader

trumpisreal

0x80c5138097dfa8b2b4139baebb1507e582e965d1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.35K
Realized PnL: $122.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.58K
Potential profit: $111.58K
User PnL: -$62.74K

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $6.35K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $93.65K
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$649.99

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$5.59K

Yes position

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$5K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$3.58K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$1.92K

Shifters position

LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $2.95K
User PnL: -$1.08K

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $1.96K
User PnL: -$1.33K

Fnatic position

LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$210

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.58K

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.25K

100 Thieves position

League of Legends: LYON vs. 100 Thieves

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22K

Nongshim position

League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. OKSavingsBank BRION

Ends Sep 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.37K

No position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.64K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Springfield" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.22K

Yes position

Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06K

G2 Esports position

League of Legends: Fnatic vs. G2 Esports

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.89K

Aurora position

EWC Cs2: FaZe vs. Aurora

Ends Aug 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83K

Top Esports position

League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Top Esports

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61K

JD Gaming position

League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Weibo Gaming

Ends Aug 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5K

No position

Will there be another debate?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45K

Yes position

Will Trump say "cat" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2K

Yes position

Is $DJT real?

Ends Jun 21, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.03K

LNG Esports position

League of Legends: LNG Esports vs. ThunderTalk Gaming

Ends Aug 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

DRX position

League of Legends: DRX vs. DN Freecs

Ends Aug 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65K

No position

Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Anyones Legend position

League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. JD Gaming

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

Will Trump say "drill baby drill" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $990

Vivo Keyd position

League of Legends: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs. eChamp Gaming

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $829.23

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $770

KT Rolster position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $730

G2 Esports position

League of Legends: G2 Esports vs. BDS

Ends Aug 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $660

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner

Shifters 15.9% 980.89 shares
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner

Shifters 47% 1,968.2 shares
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner

T1 68% 135.64 shares
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner

T1 67.9% 1,459.62 shares
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner

KT Rolster 27% 978.1 shares
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

Team Vitality 26% 5,000 shares
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

Fnatic 21% 1,000 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 99.8% 100,267.91 shares
No airdrop in 2025?

Yes 1.7% 23,883.89 shares
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

No 4.7% 99,999.84 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Yes 43% 5,736.03 shares
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Yes 0.1% 29,999.98 shares