Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $37.74
- Potential profit
- $37.68
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Polymarket Trader
i0y46zYhgDgK
0x80c896044fac31754fb7786c1e667b563b63c416
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.22
- Realized PnL
- $245.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $30.17
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$11.83
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $10.53
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.41
No position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.97
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.41
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.94
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
Yes position
Will Trudeau resign Today?
Ends Jan 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.66
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.96
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Solana above $200 on November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.94
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
Ends Nov 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
Bears position
Packers vs. Bears
Ends Nov 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.72
No position
Will Gladiator II gross less than $53m on opening weekend?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Trump position
Who will lead on Silver Bulletin on Friday?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Yes position
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Steelers position
Ravens vs. Steelers
Ends Nov 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
No position
JD Vance favorability >40% by Friday Oct 11?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
Colorado State position
Utah State vs. Colorado State
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
No position
Ethereum above $2,800 on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?Yes 19% 10.53 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes 2.2% 6.99 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes 14.3% 6.99 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 98.8% 33.33 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 23% 21.25 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 5% 32.99 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 23.5% 21.25 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 45% 33.33 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 21% 23.81 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 22% 9 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No 95.7% 10.98 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 17% 62.5 shares