No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $20.25K
- Potential payout
- $20.47K
- Potential profit
- $214.91
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Polymarket Trader
Specksalam
0x80f1f634ae8f8c9b197279bfa66d5db296f73ccd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.93K
- Realized PnL
- $667.13
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.1%
- Current value
- $10.93K
- Potential payout
- $13K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $773.5
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $798
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $11.2K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$210
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $743.66
- Potential payout
- $6.33K
- Potential profit
- $5.59K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $243.67
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $6.2K
- Potential profit
- $5.06K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $145.7
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $68.36
- Potential payout
- $2.58K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.57
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $52
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$9.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 89.5% 4,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 90.2% 111 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.6% 2,579.71 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.9% 6,329 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 6,200 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.4% 12,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 93.4% 164.73 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes 10% 1,000 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?No 48% 200 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes 69% 1,809.9 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?No 96.2% 200 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 41% 2,600 shares