Polymarket Trader

melvynxdev

0x80f3f686ab00b6cce50d3f1ace5804e80922fbba

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $42.1
Realized PnL: $2.4
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $24.8
Potential payout: $40.32
Potential profit: $15.52
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.99
Potential profit: $28.99
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.13
Potential profit: $14.13
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.51
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.28
Potential profit: $11.28
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $9.59
Potential profit: $9.44
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $3.64
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 62% 40.32 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 74% 13.51 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 27% 37.04 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Yes 81% 3.7 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Yes 10.4% 9.59 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Yes 7.1% 14.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Down 42% 2.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Down 65% 8.77 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Yes 13.8% 28.99 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 87% 11.49 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Yes 93% 10.75 shares
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Yes 97% 5.15 shares