Polymarket Trader

0x80fe...d375

0x80fea69a4ebd502c54e50c7a15e401571e93d375

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $664.13
Realized PnL: -$6.55
Win rate: 5%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.82K
Potential profit: $9.82K
User PnL: -$44.99

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $51.53
Potential payout: $6.87K
Potential profit: $6.82K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$11.84

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 30-July 6?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.59K
Potential profit: $2.59K
User PnL: -$43.53

Yes position

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 88.1%
Current value: $128.01
Potential payout: $145.38
Potential profit: $17.37
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$6.99

Yes position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $70.39
Potential payout: $81.85
Potential profit: $11.46
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$4.61

No position

Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $78.25
Potential payout: $81.85
Potential profit: $3.6
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.62

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $37.33
Potential payout: $44.44
Potential profit: $7.11
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$2.67

No position

Will Solana dip to $60 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $33.29
Potential payout: $38.04
Potential profit: $4.76
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$1.71

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $34.72
Potential payout: $34.72
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.72

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 6-12?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $32.95
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.95

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $31.17
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $2.17
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $19.17
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $14.17
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$10.83

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 July 6-12?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $31.5
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $1.83
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Kevin Lee McCants win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 6, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $32.18
Potential payout: $32.72
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.18

Gable Steveson position

UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 91.1%
Current value: $28.2
Potential payout: $30.97
Potential profit: $2.77
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $30.9
Potential profit: $0.9
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $25.08
Potential payout: $25.83
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $3.22
Potential profit: $2.84
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29

Yes position

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Gable Steveson 91.6% 30.97 shares
Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

No 93.6% 81.85 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?

No 96.8% 25.83 shares
Will Kevin Lee McCants win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?

No 91.7% 32.72 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

No 90% 33.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 90% 33.33 shares
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?

No 97.1% 30.9 shares
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?

No 90% 44.44 shares
Will Solana dip to $60 in July?

No 92% 38.04 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 6-12?

No 90% 33.33 shares
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Yes 91.6% 81.85 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?

No 86.4% 34.72 shares