Polymarket Trader

trancata

0x810b5ab0cef57a8fc91b7103cc5b786d52a6fdae

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.25K
Realized PnL: $696.53
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $759.89
Potential payout: $899.28
Potential profit: $139.39
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $4.99

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $391.83
Potential profit: $391.83
User PnL: -$330

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $302.69
Potential payout: $306.52
Potential profit: $3.83
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $9.44

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $82.67
Potential payout: $83.76
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $5.44

No position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$30.84

Yes position

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.32
Potential profit: $41.32
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $23.77
Potential payout: $24.48
Potential profit: $0.71
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $20.27
Potential payout: $21.8
Potential profit: $1.53
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.28

Yes position

Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $19.93
Potential payout: $21.19
Potential profit: $1.26
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $19.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.9
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$15.4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.12
Potential profit: $16.12
User PnL: -$14.3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $10.11
Potential payout: $11.24
Potential profit: $1.12
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $4.35
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$2.1

No position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.58
Potential profit: $6.58
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $6.31
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $5.84
Potential profit: $4.83
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: -$3.99

Yes position

Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 91.3%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $5.15
Potential profit: $0.45
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.33

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.81

No position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.81

No position

Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.4

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.96

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $13.57

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.08

Yes position

Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.23

Yes position

Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.84

No position

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.49

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.63

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.62

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.62

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.37

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.94

Yes position

Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

No position

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.22

No position

Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Claude 4.7 released by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

No position

Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?

No 89% 5 shares
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

No 92.7% 16.18 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

No 72% 7.74 shares
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 77% 6.49 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 69% 7.25 shares
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

Yes 85.6% 5.84 shares
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?

Yes 97% 5.15 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

No 76% 6.58 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

No 85% 11.76 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

No 83% 18 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 11.24 shares
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?

Yes 94.4% 21.19 shares